But the much bigger wheels in the wheeling and dealing, senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, aren't up for reelection in 2022 at all. On the other hand, Republicans havent yet settled on a candidate either. Do Democrats need a past superstar to hold the White House in 2024? The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Senators seeking reelection include Kaine (VA), Brown (OH) and Gillibrand (NY): Ohio Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment. It is the percentage of people polled who responded favorably toward the work of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. And former Rep. Tim Ryan (D) lost a Senate bid there last year, deepening Democrats woes in the Buckeye State. Copy Code. (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File) The 2024 Senate race in Michigan appeared promising for Democrats just a couple of weeks ago. No candidates. Of the 33 Senate seats up for election next term, 23 are held by Democrats. But as he nears his 80th birthday, he confronts a decision on whether to run in 2024 that has some Democrats uncomfortable. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. After the elections, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema announced she had changed her party affiliation from Democrat to independent. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona have complicated their own re-election fortunes for 2024.. Why it matters: While Democrats have a credible chance to hold onto a narrow Senate majority this year, they're staring at a rough political map in two years, when both of those seats are . Most election predictors used: As of February 2023, three senators have announced plans to retire. next post . [86][87][88], Three-term Democrat Bob Menendez was re-elected in 2018 with 54.0% of the vote. John Glen Weaver running for Nebraska's open Class II U.S. Senate seat", "Democrat Ruben Gallego launches run for Senate in Arizona as Sinema stays silent", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat | CNN Politics", "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race", "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24", "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign", "Maine Independent Senator Angus King intends to seek third term in U.S. Senate in 2024", "Warren says she will run for reelection in 2024", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow", "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign", "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run", "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist announces bid for U.S. Senate", "Hawley says he's not interested in presidential run at this time", "Lucas Kunce announces candidacy for U.S. Senate", "Montana Sen. Jon Tester to seek reelection in major boost for Democrats", "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024", "Watch Now: Chris Janicek Won't Quit Senate Race, Democrats Eye Write-In Candidate", https://www.insidernj.com/cruz-wants-to-challenge-menendez/, "Menendez builds warchest for 2024 re-election campaign", "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Republican nominee for Senate in Pennsylvania, 2024 United States Senate election in New Mexico, List of United States senators from New Mexico, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2024 United States Senate election in New York, List of United States senators from New York, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New York, 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota, List of United States senators from North Dakota, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota, 2024 United States Senate election in Ohio, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Ohio, 2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, List of United States senators from Pennsylvania, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, List of United States senators from Rhode Island, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Rhode Island, 2024 United States Senate election in Tennessee, List of United States senators from Tennessee, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Tennessee, 2024 United States Senate election in Texas, List of United States senators from Texas, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas, U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, 2024 United States Senate election in Utah, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Utah, List of United States senators from Vermont, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont, 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia, List of United States senators from Virginia, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2024 United States Senate election in Washington, List of United States senators from Washington, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington, 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia, List of United States senators from West Virginia, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia, 2024 United States Senate election in Wisconsin, List of United States senators from Wisconsin, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Wisconsin, List of United States senators from Wyoming, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming, 2024 United States gubernatorial elections, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections, "Michigan's U.S. Sen. Stabenow won't seek reelection in 2024", "Sen. Feinstein makes it official: She will retire at the end of her current term", "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents", "Kyrsten Sinema leaves Democratic Party, adding drama to tight Senate margin", "Georgia's Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle", "2016 State PVI Changes Decision Desk HQ", "Former Nebraska Gov. Am I undecided? There are also few opportunities for Democrats to go on the offensive. Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. Ballotpedia features 395,557 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. See also Class I Senators by Senator's Last Name. As with any other 2024 state, you can use the Map Color Palette or rotate through the colors by clicking on the map. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. The Democrats held a 58-seat majority going into the election, with the Republicans at 38 seats and the rising Libertarians with 4 seats. And I havent gotten to that point yet., I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo, Arizonans are in the middle of a very busy election season, and its important we focus our resources on keeping Mark Kelly in the Senate instead of starting the next campaign anytime soon. [77], Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018 with 52.3% of the vote. -webkit-columns: 1; Representative Ro Khanna[60] is also considered a potential Democratic candidate. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) announced this week that she would not run for reelection in 2024, confirming months of speculation that she will retire at the end of her term. Thats something thats very personal for everybody., Stabenow is among the swing-state senators planning on running again in the next presidential year, giving the party a huge boost. = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. [2] U.S. representative Jim Banks is running,[67] while former representative Trey Hollingsworth and Indiana attorney general and 2018 Senate candidate Todd Rokita are all seen as potential candidates for the Republican nomination to succeed Braun. [79], Notably, on February 24, 2023, U.S. Representative John James, Republican nominee for Senate in 2018 and 2020, has recently declined a third bid for Senate, and a second bid for Stabenows seat, as he is running for reelection. That fact alone makes Nevada one of the GOPs best pickup opportunities for 2024. [63], Former Governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. I think thats the responsible thing to do, said Sen. Angus King (I-Maine), who caucuses with Democrats and picked up a Republican-held seat in 2012. Still, Democrats best 2024 pick-up opportunities are probably Texas and Florida not exactly fertile ground. McCarthy and Cheney, a former member of . The office of Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., who is 89 years old, announced a couple weeks ago that she will not be seeking re-election in 2024. Updated on: February 14, 2023 / 4:46 PM / CBS News. [82], United States Congressmen Matt Rosendale (MT-02) and Ryan Zinke (MT-01) have expressed interest in running for the Republican nomination, provoking a 2018 rematch for the Senate seat, and one of two potential primary rematches of the cycle. [36], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. We try not to talk about it til it starts.. [112], Four-term Democrat Maria Cantwell was re-elected in 2018 with 58.3% of the vote. Georgia runoff election: Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D) won re-election in the Georgia Senate runoff, defeating Republican challenger Herschel Walker and giving Democrats . Those in ME/VT are part of the Democratic caucus, while Sen. Sinema in AZ is more loosely affiliated. Sinema said she would not caucus with Republicans.[4]. But for now, Sinema maintains a more conservative stance than fellow Democrats in Congress. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. The vast majority, 23 of the 34, senators up for reelection in 2024 caucus with the Democrats. This . arrives for the Senate Democratic Caucus leadership election at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Dec. 8, 2022. Because the House wanted a manageable number of members, Congress twice set the size of the House at 435 voting members. The party is at odds over its direction, especially after a disappointing 2022 midterm election cycle. Sen. Pat Toomey's (R) retirement and President Biden's narrow victory in the Keystone State in 2020 have . Of his future, Manchin said: What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now., Tester vowed that I will not make a decision until sometime early next year and that he is truly undecided but feels very positively about my chances., People say, thats bullshit, youve already made up your mind, Tester said. Whats clear is that the race is emerging as one of the most contentious in the country. [27], Former Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. worse-than-expected midterm for Republicans, 2024 United States Senate election in Hawaii, List of United States senators from Hawaii, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2024 United States Senate election in Indiana, List of United States senators from Indiana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2024 United States Senate election in Maine, List of United States senators from Maine, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maine, 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland, List of United States senators from Maryland, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts, List of United States senators from Massachusetts, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Massachusetts, 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan, List of United States senators from Michigan, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2024 United States Senate election in Minnesota, List of United States senators from Minnesota, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2024 United States Senate election in Mississippi, List of United States senators from Mississippi, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi, 2024 United States Senate election in Missouri, List of United States senators from Missouri, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri, 2024 United States Senate election in Montana, List of United States senators from Montana, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana, List of United States senators from Nebraska, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate special election in Nebraska, 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada, List of United States senators from Nevada, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nevada, 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey, List of United States senators from New Jersey, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Jersey. .split-cols-c-list { [113] However, on October 5, 2022, Manchin said, "What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now," and was watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). Research: Josh Altic Vojsava Ramaj Other potential Republican challengers include businessman Sam Brown, a candidate for the Republican nomination for Senate in 2022, reality television personality Rick Harrison, and venture capitalist Guy Nohra. But candidate strength is unsettled", "Dianne Feinstein will not seek re-election, ending pioneering political career", "Ro Khanna says he's looking at the Senate", https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/05/senate-dems-reelection-00060062, "Delaware's Heated Senate Race Threatens to Rip Apart Its Centrist Political Fabric", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/03/maryland-dems-cardin-reelection-00081005, "Melbourne lawyer floats Primary challenge to Rick Scott", https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3773788-rick-scott-faces-uncertain-future-after-bruising-midterm-year/, https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politics/os-ne-stephanie-murphy-leaves-congress-20221201-nidvjwxforhr7g66ye5h365ota-story.html, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? [102][103], One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018 with 62.6% of the vote. By Kathryn Watson. Here are eight Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024: Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) speaks during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on July 9, 2020, on Capitol Hill in Washington. In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. Sen. Sinema is up for reelection in 2024, and her critics are looking for a primary challenger. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. He will stay in office until the next election which will be held on November 5, 2024. That's significant considering just one state (Wisconsin) voted the opposite way for the Senate in 2022 . Its too early to make those types of decisions, Cardin said. Representatives Barbara Lee,[18] Katie Porter,[21] and Adam Schiff[59] have announced that they are running for the seat. Sen. Sinema changed her partisan affiliation from Democrat to Independent after the 2022 elections. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) pulled out a narrow 3-point victory in his last bid for reelection, maintaining a seat for Democrats in an otherwise deep-red state. Itll also be Rosens first reelection bid, and the political environment next year is expected to be very different from the one she ran in during her 2018 campaign, when she ousted former Sen. Dean Heller (R). You can separately choose how to count each independent for purposes of determining majority control. The . She has announced her intent to run for a fifth term. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. Its not an ideal position for Democrats to be in as they look to stave off Republicans in a state that has only emerged as a battleground over the past few election cycles. [26], U.S. Representative Jared Golden (ME-02) is considered a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. If he ultimately decides to step aside, it would deprive Democrats of a battle-tested incumbent who they believe has the best shot of holding the seat. [citation needed]. Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott, whose seats are up in 2024, have chosen to seek re-election rather than roll the dice on a White House run. By the end of the election, the Libertarians were the big winners, ultimately winning a total of 8 seats to get to 12 total seats. | Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. No I am all in. And will they try again. [89], Educator, and former member of the Andover Township Board of Education, Daniel Cruz has declared his candidacy for the Republican nomination. (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File). The uncertainty stemming from Stabenows coming retirement sets the stage for a potentially long and competitive Democratic primary that could complicate the partys hopes of holding the seat next year. The following table provides an overview of the incumbent and candidates in 2024 Senate races. 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona, List of United States senators from Arizona, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2024 United States Senate election in California, List of United States senators from California, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024 United States Senate election in Connecticut, List of United States senators from Connecticut, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Connecticut, 2024 United States Senate election in Delaware, List of United States senators from Delaware, 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Delaware, 2024 United States Senate election in Florida, List of United States senators from Florida, 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida. (from left) Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., Catherine Cortez Masto, D-Nev., and Ron Johnson, R-Wis., are all facing . That makes for a tough cycle and it gets even harder if incumbents choose not to run. The majority partywill seek to defend their incumbents in key races again Republican rivals as they look to maintain their slim majority in a presidentialelection year where President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term. Shark Tanks Kevin OLeary blasts Ocasio-Cortez: She kills jobs by the Pelosi on DC crime bill: I wish Biden wouldve told us first, Manchin indicates opposition to Biden lands nominee over internal memo. Brown is the only Democrat to win a . Both Manchin and Tester are also up for reelection next year in states where the GOP dominates. Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Each block indicates an incumbent senator's actions going into the election. Mar. One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. Here are the states where residents will pay the biggest share of their income Trump asks for roughly six-month delay in New York fraud case, Why concerns are rising about drug-resistant Shigella infections, Michael Steele on Marjorie Taylor Greene: Just shut the hell up, Mike Lindell calls DeSantis a Trojan Horse, Excused Murdaugh juror left a dozen eggs in jury room. Should he retire, U.S. representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone, and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. Use the buttons below the map to share it on social media or embed it into a web page. U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., speaks onstage during the Vox Media's 2022 Code Conference on . And holding the majority this fall in a tough environment could help keep some incumbents happier about running for reelection. OnPolitics: What the 2022 midterms will mean for the 2024 election, Stay in the conversation on politics: Sign up for the OnPolitics newsletter. Carper leads the Environment and Public Works Committee and Cardin chairs the Small Business Committee while ranking second most-senior among the partys Foreign Relations Committee members. 2023 USA TODAY, a division of Gannett Satellite Information Network, LLC. } They won't face voters until 2024, and by then, who knows? After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Special elections during the preceding Congress. -webkit-columns: 1; WASHINGTON (AP) President Joe Biden visited the Senate on Thursday to demonstrate unity among Democrats but he ended up endorsing a Republican priority instead.
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